CFA Level 1 Quantitative Methods Cheat Sheet

The key Quantitative Methods formulas and decision rules for 2026, module by module. Quantitative Methods is 6-9% of the Level I exam.

Free to read, no sign-up. A revision companion to use alongside your curriculum or prep provider. The full sheet (60 concepts, 43 formulas, 14 decision rules) is in the study dashboard.

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11 modules43 formulas14 decision rules

Quantitative Methods cheat sheet by module

Key concepts and formulas from each of the 11 Quantitative Methods modules. Open a module for its lesson page, or the dashboard for the full sheet.

1

Rates and Returns

Free module

Interest Rate Components

Nominal rate = Real risk-free rate + Inflation premium + Default risk premium + Liquidity premium + Maturity premium.

Holding Period Return (HPR)

Total return earned from holding an asset over a single period, including price change and income.

Arithmetic vs Geometric Mean

Arithmetic mean is the simple average of returns; geometric mean accounts for compounding. Geometric ≤ Arithmetic always.

Harmonic Mean

Used for averaging ratios like P/E or dollar-cost averaging. Always ≤ Geometric mean ≤ Arithmetic mean.

Money-Weighted Return (MWR)

IRR of all cash flows; sensitive to timing and size of external cash flows. Reflects investor experience.

Time-Weighted Return (TWR)

Geometric mean of sub-period returns; not affected by external cash flows. Reflects manager performance.

Continuously Compounded Return

r<sub>cc</sub> = ln(1 + HPR). Allows additive compounding across time periods.

Gross vs Net Return

Gross = before management fees; Net = after all fees. Pre-tax vs after-tax returns also critical.

Holding Period Return

HPR = (P1 - P0 + D1) / P0

Where: P0 = beginning price, P1 = ending price, D1 = income/dividend

Geometric Mean Return

RG = [(1+R1)(1+R2)...(1+Rn)]1/n - 1

Where: Ri = return in period i, n = number of periods

Harmonic Mean

X̄H = n / Σ(1/Xi)

Where: n = number of observations, Xi = individual values

Annualized Return

Rannual = (1 + Rperiod)c - 1

Where: c = number of periods per year

Continuously Compounded Return

rcc = ln(1 + HPR) = ln(P1/P0)

Where: ln = natural logarithm

Real Return (exact)

(1 + Rnominal) = (1 + Rreal)(1 + π)

Where: π = inflation rate

Which mean return to use?

Use when:

  • +Arithmetic mean: for forward-looking expected single-period returns
  • +Geometric mean: for historical multi-period compound performance
  • +Harmonic mean: for dollar-cost averaging or averaging P/E ratios

Avoid when:

  • -Arithmetic mean when evaluating past compounded growth
  • -Geometric mean for expected future single-period estimates

Money-weighted vs Time-weighted return?

Use when:

  • +MWR when evaluating the investor's actual experience
  • +TWR when evaluating the portfolio manager's skill

Avoid when:

  • -MWR for manager comparison (distorted by client cash flows)
  • -TWR when investor controls timing of cash flows

Present Value (PV)

The current worth of a future cash flow discounted at the appropriate rate. Foundation of all valuation.

Future Value (FV)

The value of a current amount after earning interest over a specified period.

Future Value

FV = PV × (1 + r)n

Where: r = interest rate per period, n = number of periods

Present Value

PV = FV / (1 + r)n

Where: r = discount rate, n = periods

Full sheet: 7 concepts · 7 formulas · 2 decision rules

Measures of Central Tendency

Mean (arithmetic, geometric, harmonic), median (middle value, robust to outliers), mode (most frequent).

Quantiles

Quartiles divide data into 4 parts, quintiles into 5, deciles into 10, percentiles into 100.

Population Variance

σ² = Σ(Xi - μ)² / N

Where: μ = population mean, N = population size

Sample Variance

s² = Σ(Xi - X̄)² / (n - 1)

Where: X̄ = sample mean, n-1 for Bessel correction

Full sheet: 7 concepts · 6 formulas · 2 decision rules

Expected Value

E(X) = Σ P(x<sub>i</sub>) × x<sub>i</sub>. The probability-weighted average of all possible outcomes.

Conditional Probability

P(A|B) = P(AB) / P(B). The probability of A given that B has occurred.

Expected Value

E(X) = Σ P(xi) × xi

Where: P(xi) = probability of outcome i

Bayes' Formula

P(B|A) = [P(A|B) × P(B)] / P(A)

Where: P(B) = prior, P(B|A) = posterior

Full sheet: 6 concepts · 4 formulas · 1 decision rules

Portfolio Expected Return

E(R<sub>p</sub>) = Σ w<sub>i</sub> E(R<sub>i</sub>). Weighted average of individual expected returns.

Portfolio Variance (2 assets)

σ²<sub>p</sub> = w²<sub>1</sub>σ²<sub>1</sub> + w²<sub>2</sub>σ²<sub>2</sub> + 2w<sub>1</sub>w<sub>2</sub>Cov(1,2). Key: correlation drives diversification benefit.

Portfolio Variance (2 assets)

σ²p = w²Aσ²A + w²Bσ²B + 2wAwBρABσAσB

Where: w = weights, ρ = correlation, σ = standard deviation

Covariance from Correlation

Cov(A,B) = ρAB × σA × σB

Where: ρ = correlation coefficient

Full sheet: 5 concepts · 4 formulas · 1 decision rules

Lognormal Distribution

If ln(X) is normally distributed, X follows a lognormal distribution. Bounded below by 0 — natural for asset prices.

Continuous Compounding

If r<sub>cc</sub> is normally distributed, then the price relative (1+R) is lognormally distributed.

Lognormal Price

ST = S0 × ercc×T

Where: rcc = continuously compounded return, T = time

CC Return from Prices

rcc = ln(ST / S0)

Where: ln = natural logarithm

Full sheet: 4 concepts · 2 formulas · 1 decision rules

Simple Random Sampling

Every member of the population has an equal probability of being selected. Foundation of statistical inference.

Stratified Random Sampling

Divide population into subgroups (strata), then sample from each. Ensures representation of all groups.

Standard Error of Mean

SE = σ / √n (or s / √n if σ unknown)

Where: σ = population SD, n = sample size

Confidence Interval

X̄ ± zα/2 × (σ / √n)

Where: zα/2 = critical value for confidence level

Full sheet: 5 concepts · 3 formulas · 1 decision rules

Null & Alternative Hypotheses

H<sub>0</sub>: status quo (what we try to reject). H<sub>a</sub>: what we want to prove. We never "accept" H<sub>0</sub>, only fail to reject.

Type I and Type II Errors

Type I (α): reject true H<sub>0</sub> (false positive). Type II (β): fail to reject false H<sub>0</sub> (false negative). Power = 1 - β.

Test Statistic (mean)

t = (X̄ - μ0) / (s / √n)

Where: μ0 = hypothesized mean

Test for Difference in Means

t = (X̄1 - X̄2) / √(s²1/n1 + s²2/n2)

Where: For independent samples

Full sheet: 5 concepts · 3 formulas · 1 decision rules

Parametric Correlation Test

Tests whether population correlation ρ = 0. t = r√(n-2) / √(1-r²) with df = n-2.

Spearman Rank Correlation

Non-parametric alternative. Ranks data, then calculates correlation of ranks. Robust to outliers and non-linearity.

Parametric t-test for Correlation

t = r × √(n-2) / √(1-r²)

Where: r = sample correlation, df = n-2

Chi-Square Statistic

χ² = Σ (Oi - Ei)² / Ei

Where: O = observed frequency, E = expected frequency

Full sheet: 3 concepts · 3 formulas · 1 decision rules

Regression Equation

Ŷ = b<sub>0</sub> + b<sub>1</sub>X. b<sub>0</sub> = intercept, b<sub>1</sub> = slope (change in Y per unit change in X).

R-squared

Coefficient of determination = proportion of Y's variation explained by X. R² = correlation². Range: 0 to 1.

Slope Coefficient

b1 = Cov(X,Y) / Var(X) = Σ(X-X̄)(Y-Ȳ) / Σ(X-X̄)²

Where: OLS estimator

Intercept

b0 = Ȳ - b1X̄

Where: Regression line passes through (X̄, Ȳ)

Full sheet: 5 concepts · 5 formulas · 1 decision rules

Big Data Characteristics

Volume (large amount), Velocity (speed of generation), Variety (structured/unstructured), Veracity (reliability).

Machine Learning Types

Supervised: labeled data (classification, regression). Unsupervised: no labels (clustering, dimensionality reduction). Reinforcement: reward-based learning.

Full sheet: 5 concepts · 1 decision rules

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Quantitative Methods study guide